Several millions of registered voters came out in their numbers, lined up and waited hours upon hours under the hot sun and in the pouring rain sometimes with bullets flying over their heads all in an effort to vote for change and not just change but positive change. They waited and voted for the man they feel can bring the change Nigeria needs.
They waited patiently and watched while every vote was counted. They voted and voted for Buhari whom many have come to see as the “Messiah” and the “Junior Prophet” Nigeria needs. Nigerians needed "change" and so voted for nothing but change.
The question now becomes; Can Buhari fix Nigeria? Can General Buhari bring the positive change Nigeria needs?
And what if at the end of the day Buhari performs worse than the previous
governments including his own military government of 31 December 1983 to 27 August 1985 (after taking power in a military coup d’etat)?
Although several factors contributed to why President Jonathan lost the elections, all those factors converge at a point but to make things easier to understand, I will first group them under two categories. The economic and the security factors.
As most of you know, the number one reason Jonathan lost to General Buhari was the issue of Boko Haram but that was also the number one reason most Nigerians probably got wrong. We cannot fully discuss the issue of Boko Haram without first mentioning poor education. Even their name implies. “Boko Haram” which simply translates “Western education is evil”, hates quality/proper education. Formal education is considered a great sin from Boko Haram’s point of view not because formal education is wrong but because formal education would eventually come back to fight illiteracy and ignorance which are the core principles of Boko Haram. Boko Haram’s number one enemy therefore is good education and that is why they keep bombing schools and abducting school children all in an effort to stop people from acquiring formal education.
Although some Nigerians see Jonathan as a weakling, Jonathan understood the issue of Boko Haram perhaps better than we all thought. The problem of Boko Haram is a problem of ideology and you cannot fight an ideology with a gun. It takes proper education to fight a dangerous ideological “tool” like Boko Haram. Jonathan got that part right and we could all see that in the number of schools he erected in northern Nigeria especially in the Boko Haram infected areas. The point I am trying to make here is that, although most Nigerians voted for General Buhari because of his military background, General Buhari cannot win the fight against Boko Haram with just a gun as some of us think. In other words, if General Buhari approaches this issue from just the military point of view, then he will fail miserably. Military action is needed but just to suppress the activities of Boko Haram for the time being. However, in order to eradicate Boko Haram from Nigeria, the people must be educated. Education is the ultimate solution and Jonathan got that part perfectly right. Can we say the same about Buhari? Will Buhari cherish education the same way Jonathan cherished education? These are some of the questions people failed to answer. Military action is needed in suppressing the activities of Boko Haram and that maybe is where Jonathan lost some political points. However, military action cannot eradicate Boko Haram from Nigeria as some people think. In other words, if General Buhari approaches Boko Haram just like he preached during his campaign trails, then future generations may have to deal with Boko Haram unfortunately.
There is no doubt poor economic factors such as high inflation rates, high unemployment rates, poor markets, poor power (electricity) supply, lack of good drinking water and water for domestic purposes, poor education, poor sanitation, etc., all contributed greatly to why Jonathan lost power to General Buhari. Most of the youth in Nigeria today especially the college graduates end up on the streets with degrees upon degrees but with no jobs to do. The unemployment rate keeps rising and more and more people find themselves doing almost nothing after graduation and the frustration keeps building every single day. So whenever an opportunity like this (voting) comes along, most of the youths grab it and use the platform to vent out their frustration as we saw in the news just days to the elections. The question once again remains; can Buhari deal with the above mentioned problems better than Jonathan? And let’s not forget the fact that Buhari was once the Head of state of Nigeria and could put some measures in place for the future. Did Buhari put any such measures in place when he was the Head of State of Nigeria? If we are to put records straight, Buhari failed Nigeria miserably during his first time in office as the Head of State of Nigeria. What makes us so sure Buhari will perform any better this time around?
Another major problem which contributed greatly to Jonathan's downfall in the elections was the problem of "NEPA". In today’s world, electricity has become a necessity and a city cannot run efficiently without electricity. It may surprise you however to know that Nigeria’s big city Kano which is infact the oldest city in west Africa today receives just about 6 hours of electric power supply every single day. The entire city runs on private generators which is quite absurd considering the fact that Nigeria is the largest oil producer in Africa today with several rivers and lakes (for hydro-electricity generation) all across the country. A manufacturer who planned on hiring 20 employees would end up cutting the number to 10 just to cover for electricity costs. So at the end of the day, fewer and fewer people are getting hired. Also, the power supply is quite intermittent which makes it almost impossible to establish any business around it. Every year, hundreds of thousands of people suffer and die from carbon monoxide poisoning (the dangerous smoke produced by the millions of generators across the country). The National Electric Power Authority of Nigeria popularly known as "NEPA" has come to symbolize nothing but failure in Nigeria today. Jonathan’s administration was considered “NEPA” in strategy by most Nigerian youths and that explains why most voted against it. The question here is; will Buhari’s administration be any better or just another “NEPA”?